Here we are, what, three weeks before the Minneapolis smoking ban goes into effect, and *only now* are the lawsuits being filed to challenge the provision. Yep, that's right, a couple of bars hooked up with some VFW's or something and are challenging the law based on some legal mumbo jumbo that I don't really care about because it's too late to challenge and I'm ready to see all the nanny government folks down at First Avenue telling people to put out their cigarettes. (Full disclosure: I like the rule, but that's probably because I don't smoke.)
My favorite quote about the new lawsuits came from Sue Jeffers, the owner of everyone's favorite alumni bar, Stub and Herb's, one of the bars in the Coalition of the Unwilling.
Sue Jeffers, owner of Stub and Herb's, said she estimated she would lose $250,000 a year if the smoking ban takes effect.
"I will suffer a loss of business as my smoking customers choose to go somewhere else," she said. "I believe the anti-smoking advocates' rights end at my front door."
Ok, I'm no math genius, but I have a calculator on my cellphone and at one time I think I could do long division, so here goes. If she says she's going to lose $250k/yr that equals $680/day. Now I'm not exactly sure what she means by 'losing', but let's be kind of a jackass and assume it's profit and not revenue. (Seems fair, yes, but I'd bet in reality it's revenue. Bigger numbers sound better, even if they don't mean anything.)
Assuming a probably-too-high-but-let's-be-nice gross margin of 70%, that translates to ~$1000/day in revenue. So again, she is claiming that her bar is going to lose $1000/day because her smoking customers will refuse to eat/drink there once she is forced to go smoke free. More math: Assume an average tab at a place like that is maybe $20 and you're talking about 50 customers a day.
I call bullshit. First of all, I've been to S&H many times on 'regular' days and 50 customers/day is probably like 30% of their business. Maybe more like half, even. I'm thinking if I stood outside and asked everyone going in and out of the place if they will stop going there after the ban - preferring perhaps to sit at home and pout? - that very few would say 'yes'. Certainly not half. I could maybe see half not agreeing with ban, but nfw half of them are going to boycott because of it.
So then you've go the 'big money' game days, which in reality is probably where S&H makes a lot of their money. (Full Disclosure: we usually go to Sally's or Big 10.) If Sue somehow thinks that people aren't going to go to The King of All Alumni Bars on campus because it doesn't allow smoking - when NONE OF THE OTHER BARS WILL EITHER - than she's even dumber than I thought.
Seriously, I can understand the anti-anti-smoking argument when it's based on "freedom", but please, spare me your breathless (ha!) doom and gloom monetary predictions, especially when there are so many stories that seem to say you're wrong.
Bars file suit over smoking bans [tc]